
Wall Street slips as oil rally and Iran deal talks unnerve investors
The S&P 500 edged down from a record high, with Brent crude climbing nearly 4 per cent, while traders looked ahead to Friday’s US employment report.
Wall Street’s record-breaking run stalled on Thursday as a sharp rise in oil prices and mixed corporate earnings prompted a modest pullback. The S&P 500 slipped 0.2 per cent, retreating from the all-time high reached earlier in the week, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.9 per cent. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.1 per cent. The Australian sharemarket, which reset its own record on Thursday, was set for a flat open.
Brent crude, the international benchmark, surged 3.9 per cent to $82.55 a barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate rose 2.75 per cent to $77.29. The advance was fuelled by renewed uncertainty over the conflict between the United States and Iran. A proposed deal between Iran and Oman, reported by Reuters, would grant Tehran control over vessels entering the Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for global oil shipments. Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency separately reported that a parliamentary committee was reviewing a bill to bar US, Israeli and other “hostile” vessels from the waterway. “Iran is having less of an impact right now … tweets are something, headlines are something, but we really want to see the devil is in the details,” said Robert Bernstone, head of trading at SummitTX Capital.
The earnings season, which has been the strongest since 2021 with roughly 85 per cent of S&P 500 companies beating expectations, offered a mixed picture. Warner Bros. Discovery and Molson Coors gained after reporting encouraging results, but Honeywell Aerospace tumbled 23.2 per cent on a weak forecast. AppLovin slumped 19.7 per cent after missing revenue estimates, and data-storage firm Western Digital and memory-chip maker Sandisk fell sharply despite strong AI-driven demand. Separately, SpaceX shares rose 6.1 per cent as a lockup period expired, making more than 911 million shares held by early investors and employees eligible for sale; the stock closed at $114.92, well below its initial offering price.
Investors now turn to the US nonfarm payrolls report for July, due on Friday, which is expected to shape expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates. A weekly update showed a slight increase in jobless claims, though layoffs remain historically low. With Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh having scaled back forward guidance, market pricing for a rate hike in September has moved closer to an even chance, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “The employment report is of greater importance … we need to see a figure that is not too positive nor too negative for the market to continue rising,” said Clark Bellin of Bellwether Wealth.
| Continental European press | 0.00 | neutral |
|---|---|---|
| Indian & South Asian press | 0.00 | neutral |
| Latin American press | 0.00 | neutral |
The market moves on technical data, ignoring geopolitical tensions.
By reducing a geopolitical event to market variables, the political context is rendered invisible, making the narrative appear purely data-driven.
The bloc omits any mention of the Strait of Hormuz, Iran, or the oil price rise, which would destabilise its purely market-technical frame.
Iran threatens passage through the Strait, and markets react with oil rising and uncertainty.
By presenting the situation as a security threat to energy supply, the narrative justifies focusing on oil prices and geopolitical risk as the primary market driver.
The bloc omits the upcoming US employment report, which the Latin American bloc highlights as a key factor in market volatility, thus downplaying domestic economic influences.
Attention is on the US jobs report, while oil rises due to negotiations.
By embedding the market move in a broader context of domestic data and diplomatic talks, the narrative appears comprehensive and balanced, masking the omission of specific legislative threats.
The bloc omits the specific details of the Iranian bill to bar US and Israeli vessels from the Strait, which the Indian bloc highlights as a key driver of oil price uncertainty.
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