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320 outlets · 17 languages462 briefings today
Friday, May 22, 2026

UAE shifts nuclear concern to top priority as Iran conflict risks escalate, Gargash warns

Anwar Gargash says Iran's nuclear programme is now the UAE's primary worry, warns another conflict round would be catastrophic, and puts odds of a Hormuz deal at 50-50.

The United Arab Emirates has dramatically recalibrated its threat perception, with Iran's nuclear programme now its foremost concern, according to Anwar Gargash, the diplomatic adviser to the UAE president. In remarks at the Globsec security forum in Prague, Gargash stated that the nuclear issue had previously ranked second or third among Emirati worries, but had risen to the top after Tehran demonstrated a willingness to use whatever weapons it possesses. "We see that the Iranian regime is capable of using any weapon in its arsenal — this is what we have learned," he said, reflecting a shift driven by direct experience of Iranian strikes during the recent conflict.

Viewed from the Gulf, Gargash's comments underscore a deepening anxiety among smaller Arab states about the trajectory of Iran's nuclear ambitions and the fragility of regional stability. He revealed that the UAE had been targeted by approximately 3,300 drones and missiles during 40 days of hostilities that began on 28 February, a punishing barrage that has reshaped Emirati calculations. While expressing support for a political solution, Gargash warned that another round of fighting between Iran, the United States, and Israel would be "catastrophic" and further complicate an already volatile situation. He also criticised Iranian officials for squandering opportunities over the years by overestimating their leverage, adding: "I hope they do not do that this time."

Looking ahead, Gargash assessed the chances of a US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as evenly balanced — 50-50 — and insisted that any political settlement must address fundamental issues to avoid future crises. His remarks come as Iranian negotiators, in previous nuclear talks spanning two decades, have consistently refused to cede the right to enrichment on home soil, a longstanding red line that complicates any diplomatic breakthrough. Analysts in London note that the Emirati position, caught between a desire for de-escalation and the reality of Iranian capabilities, may signal a shift toward more assertive regional positioning — but with a wary eye on the catastrophic cost of renewed conflict.

Divergence — who tells it how
33%Medium
3 blocs · positions from −0.80 to 0.00
CriticalFavorable
ATLIRNGLF
Divergence between press blocs
Atlantic / Anglosphere press0.00neutral
Iranian & allied press−0.80critical
Arab Gulf press−0.40critical
Atlantic / Anglosphere press0.00

Gargash warns that Iran's nuclear activities have become the UAE's primary concern, shifting from second or third priority. He calls for a political solution but expresses skepticism about its feasibility, while noting that the odds of a deal on the Strait of Hormuz are 50-50.

PragmatismDetachment
Iranian & allied press−0.80

The UAE advisor Anwar Gargash claims that Iran's nuclear program is now the top concern, but the Iranian press emphasizes that the UAE is trying to drag the US into further conflict after suffering economic losses. They portray Gargash's statements as alarmist and accuse the UAE of exaggerating threats.

OutrageVictimhoodAlarm
Arab Gulf press−0.40

Gargash states that Iran's nuclear activities have become the UAE's primary concern, warning that Tehran is capable of using any weapon in its possession. He criticizes Iran for missing opportunities and emphasizes that a second round of conflict would be catastrophic. The Gulf press frames this as a justified shift in priorities and a call for firmness against Iranian bullying.

RevanchismAlarmPragmatism
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Upd. 01:05 PM2 languages · 5 outlets
5 outlets|2 languages|2 min read
Friday, May 22, 2026

UAE shifts nuclear concern to top priority as Iran conflict risks escalate, Gargash warns

Anwar Gargash says Iran's nuclear programme is now the UAE's primary worry, warns another conflict round would be catastrophic, and puts odds of a Hormuz deal at 50-50.

The United Arab Emirates has dramatically recalibrated its threat perception, with Iran's nuclear programme now its foremost concern, according to Anwar Gargash, the diplomatic adviser to the UAE president. In remarks at the Globsec security forum in Prague, Gargash stated that the nuclear issue had previously ranked second or third among Emirati worries, but had risen to the top after Tehran demonstrated a willingness to use whatever weapons it possesses. "We see that the Iranian regime is capable of using any weapon in its arsenal — this is what we have learned," he said, reflecting a shift driven by direct experience of Iranian strikes during the recent conflict.

Viewed from the Gulf, Gargash's comments underscore a deepening anxiety among smaller Arab states about the trajectory of Iran's nuclear ambitions and the fragility of regional stability. He revealed that the UAE had been targeted by approximately 3,300 drones and missiles during 40 days of hostilities that began on 28 February, a punishing barrage that has reshaped Emirati calculations. While expressing support for a political solution, Gargash warned that another round of fighting between Iran, the United States, and Israel would be "catastrophic" and further complicate an already volatile situation. He also criticised Iranian officials for squandering opportunities over the years by overestimating their leverage, adding: "I hope they do not do that this time."

Looking ahead, Gargash assessed the chances of a US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz as evenly balanced — 50-50 — and insisted that any political settlement must address fundamental issues to avoid future crises. His remarks come as Iranian negotiators, in previous nuclear talks spanning two decades, have consistently refused to cede the right to enrichment on home soil, a longstanding red line that complicates any diplomatic breakthrough. Analysts in London note that the Emirati position, caught between a desire for de-escalation and the reality of Iranian capabilities, may signal a shift toward more assertive regional positioning — but with a wary eye on the catastrophic cost of renewed conflict.

Divergence — who tells it how
33%Medium
3 blocs · positions from −0.80 to 0.00
CriticalFavorable
ATLIRNGLF
Divergence between press blocs
Atlantic / Anglosphere press0.00neutral
Iranian & allied press−0.80critical
Arab Gulf press−0.40critical
Atlantic / Anglosphere press0.00

Gargash warns that Iran's nuclear activities have become the UAE's primary concern, shifting from second or third priority. He calls for a political solution but expresses skepticism about its feasibility, while noting that the odds of a deal on the Strait of Hormuz are 50-50.

PragmatismDetachment
Iranian & allied press−0.80

The UAE advisor Anwar Gargash claims that Iran's nuclear program is now the top concern, but the Iranian press emphasizes that the UAE is trying to drag the US into further conflict after suffering economic losses. They portray Gargash's statements as alarmist and accuse the UAE of exaggerating threats.

OutrageVictimhoodAlarm
Arab Gulf press−0.40

Gargash states that Iran's nuclear activities have become the UAE's primary concern, warning that Tehran is capable of using any weapon in its possession. He criticizes Iran for missing opportunities and emphasizes that a second round of conflict would be catastrophic. The Gulf press frames this as a justified shift in priorities and a call for firmness against Iranian bullying.

RevanchismAlarmPragmatism

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